The Lesson: The Seen vs. The Unseen
Hazlitt begins by stating that 90% of economic errors come from ignoring this simple lesson. Bad economists only look at the immediate effects of a policy (the seen) on a special group. Good economists look at the long-term effects (the unseen) on everyone.
π Key Insight
"The bad economist sees only what immediately strikes the eye; the good economist also looks further. The bad economist sees only the direct consequences of a proposed course; the good economist looks also at the longer and indirect consequences."
This is often called "secondary consequences." Politicians often champion policies because they "create jobs" or "help the poor" in the short run, while ignoring that these same policies might destroy more jobs or increase poverty in the long run.